«About a gold equivalent» the oil prices and the Russian budget
© N. B.Chistjakova - Jaroslavova, The candidate of science
On October, 1-4st, 2011, St.-Petersburg
The full text with illustrations http://yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=15&PubID=627
The configuration of the world market of power resources began to change sharply, especially last two-three years when capitalization of information network corporations has started to overtake capitalization of the oil companies. And when, simultaneously, the rates close to rates of increase of information corporations, has gone to growth and «business of slate gases». To be exact to tell: «Business of stocks of slate gases».
On June, 21st, 2011 in article «Power-raw corporations« have lost the way »in measurements and world economy scales» http://www.yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=16&PubID=595 I already began conversation on this new "cinema" global энерго – the market and the resursno-information market.
And in this case, we observe external displays of that «theories of a relativity and the dimension theory» currencies about which complexity of perusal, I warned before crisis of the world prices for oil of 2008, suggesting to learn at last to see the oil world market in «gold scale» prices, i.e. making readout from there is nobody «a gold anchor».
But here, having visited recently at one high meeting devoted to a theme of nonconventional hydrocarbons and slate gases, I have faced, unexpectedly, with a great demand on the historical background how the concept of "a gold equivalent» the prices for oil and as work in this to "gold system of coordinates» has allowed me was entered not only to do correct estimations of the global oil market, but also to predict crisis of the world oil prices by summer of 2008 («the Agony of the oil market», Info-tek consulting)
And, so far as, the concept of "a gold equivalent» the prices for oil was entered personally by me and is idea which I kept in information field many years here in connection with such, shown demand «on the historical inquiry», just and the decision was accepted: to present in dynamics of the citation from articles of last 12 years, particularly, on a theme of "the gold maintenance» dollar, oil and the Russian budget.
Within the limits of preparation of this state-of-the-art review and a retrospective sight, I have added to some texts of reproduced citations also the list of the basic protected positions, i.e. those basic ideas which I protected also which make scientific novelty, and also are objects of protection of the copyright, taking into account the international conventions accepted to execution by Russia by joining and ratifications.
Also it was presented to me important, to give history of it of "a gold sight» at the world power market in a cut of questions on how consistently positions protected by me, year by year, were supplemented, on what public platforms I reported these ideas, what political and чиновные commands had advantage of first acquaintance with these offers and innovations, i.e. what imperious and sovereign clans are is better devoted in this theme, and have odds, in comparison with other politicians and political forces ….
.... The First publication mentioning a gold equivalent of the price for oil concerns, as is already told, by 2003 and this theme so sounded:
«Whether there is a sense to rejoice to what the price in dollars has risen on 30 %, and then to find out, what the gold maintenance in dollar has decreased too on 30 %? Whether it is more reasonable to be guided at once by a gold equivalent, and to consider, for example, that any ton of oil from Russia can't be sold below the price of gold of 3 grams for barrel?» (The data about this publication also is resulted in the represented state-of-the-art review).
As a whole, the first publications appeared, of course, in the Tyumen editions. I.e. during the period with 2003 for 2006 the Tyumen command of politicians and VIP-OFFICIALS knew about it, first of all. Thus, this command had advantage on possession exclusive analytics about a condition of the world oil market, in comparison with commands of all other subjects of Federation. And even - the federal government as there, at that time, didn't practise and didn't sound such approach, a sight and idea foreshortening.
Moreover, the Tyumen region, through editors-in-chief of leading newspapers of region often initiated articles on this theme, including in interview questions on how dynamics of the oil prices will be reflected in the budget of the Tyumen region and setting, simultaneously, many other things, not less important themes connected with the budgetary finance, and also a tariff and price policy.
As a result, the Tyumen region - unique in Russia had constant support in the form of the most qualitative and advanced analytics giving the general global picture of occurring processes. And there was, for example, article «the Celebratory pie with the oil prices» in the parliamentary newspaper «Tyumen news» (ТИ) from January, 30th, 2003, i.e. before the beginning of the long-term period of a rise in prices for oil …
In addition to it, under own initiative I did articles before crises, before "breaks" of important trends, or - in case of occurrence of new and badly identified tendencies in the market …
Often me refrains with the purpose Tyumen, and then Russia and a planet didn't forget to see the world power-market so, through «a gold prism» became also. Though each refrain was accompanied by the updated picture and additions. Therefore at first there were offers, then paragraphs, and then - the whole heads devoted to a theme of the gold price for oil and joint monitoring of the market of oil and gold. For example in article, «It is Invisible war, but defeats in it same as in any another» http:// www.yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml? Part=17&PubID=379 the whole journal page, in particular, as the answer to a question has been given a represented theme: «between the prices for oil and gold you mean What historical dependence, and what role of dollar in it« a love triangle »?
Here thus, gradually also the concept «market gold-oil» was entered, the attention to the question on an estimation «in gold» and oil stocks, together with other questions connected with stocks that promoted «to business on an estimation of stocks», showing now itself - in fast-growing «business of stocks of slate gas» was brought (see including head «the Russian stocks; brand promotion», p. 135 «the State Duma, as struggle arena for stocks», p. of 143 books «History of Nedropolzovanija.») ….
…. «Oil moves towards the lowered pressure, dollars - to the countries with the lowered rate of national currency, and incomes are received by the one who holds the price». In the name of this article – Strategy. And this Strategy was realized by China when has lowered a course of the national currency of yuan (has depreciated) and has provided at the expense of it inflow of huge dollar weight to economy of China.
As we see, it has been written for Russia in 1998, but has made it China already in the XXI-st century.
Similarly for Russia ideas of export of oil for roubles and rouble uses as reserve currency («oil Export for roubles» http://www.yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=6&PubID=130 ) have been proved
But at all of us has left in conversations and «пугания» that we can realize this strategy of rouble export.
Then, as great wisdom tells the following if you want to make something be silent!
I.e. China was silent and did:
«China protects the policy in the field of an exchange rate of national currency – yuan» http://www.1prime.ru/news/0/%7BAABD3385-D56C-40CD-B8D4-98FDFE29ACAD%7D.uif
«Game rules: Currency war»: Force of the country are possibilities of the government to depreciate the currency »h ttp://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article/2
At us similar ideas, and stated earlier, have served while, mainly, to populism. There were pluses and from their scoring, but the economic and political prize should was be multiply more.
The idea about «a gold equivalent» the prices for oil and other resources, too is strategic because correct vision of the market conducts to speed and a faultlessness of actions.
On a high international and federal platform for the first time about «a gold equivalent» the prices for oil I have sounded idea, apparently from represented materials, and also the shorthand report, - at the International forum within the limits of preparation for "G8" which has taken place in World trade center.
There was it in March, 2006 and my performance so sounded:
«… The matter is that we argue on arithmetics – 70 dollars, 20 dollars, it is impossible so already today to argue, because the price тройской gold ounces changes – and the gold maintenance in dollar sharply decreases. Thus, the price for oil has grown not so quickly as it seems. … We have become outdated. We in this scale can't already argue today. Whether understand it шерпы? When the countries of the OPEC make the decision on quota increase, they are guided on тройскую gold ounce. And at us when there is a discussion here again, in frameworks of" the eight »civil, and in frameworks of" G8 »- for some reason all forget about the price тройской gold ounces. A question: whether we can abstract further from it? … you so hurry, all of you time show on hours. I understand all, but we argue on power safety and have forgotten that the dollar at us became twice cheaper. It isn't eternal. Dollar not so basic currency!»
I have intentionally reproduced, simultaneously, and the answer to the leader of the Round table … which began to show to me on hours as soon as I have lifted a theme about decrease in the gold maintenance in dollar. I.e. it not so would like, that the theme was discussed in so wide audience. And the shorthand report hasn't reproduced for example, an exchange of sights. But after already at presence шерп it has made a reservation about it, i.e. де факто has apologized. And as between us there was here this "miniconflict" on procedure already only for this reason it was necessary to pay attention to the emphasis placed by me that it is necessary to pass urgently to the estimation of the world oil market which is based on the account of "the gold maintenance» in dollar.
Among who who was present on this Round table of the International forum were: Peter Richi (Britain), Alexander Shokhin (РСПП), Steve Sawyer (USA), Andrey Azhiarovsky (the European network of public organizations under name АНПЕД. Amsterdam), Gerhard Ort (Power club), Erli Herlich Handejshen (United States), V.Bushuev «Institute of power strategy», L.Grigorev, Karabyshev (the International fund of technologies of investments), Kalyuzhny Dmitry, Romensky (the vice-president of National association of hydrogen power). In total - more than hundred participants.
….
In connection with the dates named above and terms, I will pay attention to the frequent error, concerning Bretton-Vudsky conference or Currency-financial conference of the United Nations Organization.
Continuation under the reference http://yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=15&PubID=627
Here it is possible to make the further transfer http://www.translate.ru/Default.aspx/Text
On October, 1-4st, 2011, St.-Petersburg
The full text with illustrations http://yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=15&PubID=627
The configuration of the world market of power resources began to change sharply, especially last two-three years when capitalization of information network corporations has started to overtake capitalization of the oil companies. And when, simultaneously, the rates close to rates of increase of information corporations, has gone to growth and «business of slate gases». To be exact to tell: «Business of stocks of slate gases».
On June, 21st, 2011 in article «Power-raw corporations« have lost the way »in measurements and world economy scales» http://www.yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=16&PubID=595 I already began conversation on this new "cinema" global энерго – the market and the resursno-information market.
And in this case, we observe external displays of that «theories of a relativity and the dimension theory» currencies about which complexity of perusal, I warned before crisis of the world prices for oil of 2008, suggesting to learn at last to see the oil world market in «gold scale» prices, i.e. making readout from there is nobody «a gold anchor».
But here, having visited recently at one high meeting devoted to a theme of nonconventional hydrocarbons and slate gases, I have faced, unexpectedly, with a great demand on the historical background how the concept of "a gold equivalent» the prices for oil and as work in this to "gold system of coordinates» has allowed me was entered not only to do correct estimations of the global oil market, but also to predict crisis of the world oil prices by summer of 2008 («the Agony of the oil market», Info-tek consulting)
And, so far as, the concept of "a gold equivalent» the prices for oil was entered personally by me and is idea which I kept in information field many years here in connection with such, shown demand «on the historical inquiry», just and the decision was accepted: to present in dynamics of the citation from articles of last 12 years, particularly, on a theme of "the gold maintenance» dollar, oil and the Russian budget.
Within the limits of preparation of this state-of-the-art review and a retrospective sight, I have added to some texts of reproduced citations also the list of the basic protected positions, i.e. those basic ideas which I protected also which make scientific novelty, and also are objects of protection of the copyright, taking into account the international conventions accepted to execution by Russia by joining and ratifications.
Also it was presented to me important, to give history of it of "a gold sight» at the world power market in a cut of questions on how consistently positions protected by me, year by year, were supplemented, on what public platforms I reported these ideas, what political and чиновные commands had advantage of first acquaintance with these offers and innovations, i.e. what imperious and sovereign clans are is better devoted in this theme, and have odds, in comparison with other politicians and political forces ….
.... The First publication mentioning a gold equivalent of the price for oil concerns, as is already told, by 2003 and this theme so sounded:
«Whether there is a sense to rejoice to what the price in dollars has risen on 30 %, and then to find out, what the gold maintenance in dollar has decreased too on 30 %? Whether it is more reasonable to be guided at once by a gold equivalent, and to consider, for example, that any ton of oil from Russia can't be sold below the price of gold of 3 grams for barrel?» (The data about this publication also is resulted in the represented state-of-the-art review).
As a whole, the first publications appeared, of course, in the Tyumen editions. I.e. during the period with 2003 for 2006 the Tyumen command of politicians and VIP-OFFICIALS knew about it, first of all. Thus, this command had advantage on possession exclusive analytics about a condition of the world oil market, in comparison with commands of all other subjects of Federation. And even - the federal government as there, at that time, didn't practise and didn't sound such approach, a sight and idea foreshortening.
Moreover, the Tyumen region, through editors-in-chief of leading newspapers of region often initiated articles on this theme, including in interview questions on how dynamics of the oil prices will be reflected in the budget of the Tyumen region and setting, simultaneously, many other things, not less important themes connected with the budgetary finance, and also a tariff and price policy.
As a result, the Tyumen region - unique in Russia had constant support in the form of the most qualitative and advanced analytics giving the general global picture of occurring processes. And there was, for example, article «the Celebratory pie with the oil prices» in the parliamentary newspaper «Tyumen news» (ТИ) from January, 30th, 2003, i.e. before the beginning of the long-term period of a rise in prices for oil …
In addition to it, under own initiative I did articles before crises, before "breaks" of important trends, or - in case of occurrence of new and badly identified tendencies in the market …
Often me refrains with the purpose Tyumen, and then Russia and a planet didn't forget to see the world power-market so, through «a gold prism» became also. Though each refrain was accompanied by the updated picture and additions. Therefore at first there were offers, then paragraphs, and then - the whole heads devoted to a theme of the gold price for oil and joint monitoring of the market of oil and gold. For example in article, «It is Invisible war, but defeats in it same as in any another» http:// www.yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml? Part=17&PubID=379 the whole journal page, in particular, as the answer to a question has been given a represented theme: «between the prices for oil and gold you mean What historical dependence, and what role of dollar in it« a love triangle »?
Here thus, gradually also the concept «market gold-oil» was entered, the attention to the question on an estimation «in gold» and oil stocks, together with other questions connected with stocks that promoted «to business on an estimation of stocks», showing now itself - in fast-growing «business of stocks of slate gas» was brought (see including head «the Russian stocks; brand promotion», p. 135 «the State Duma, as struggle arena for stocks», p. of 143 books «History of Nedropolzovanija.») ….
…. «Oil moves towards the lowered pressure, dollars - to the countries with the lowered rate of national currency, and incomes are received by the one who holds the price». In the name of this article – Strategy. And this Strategy was realized by China when has lowered a course of the national currency of yuan (has depreciated) and has provided at the expense of it inflow of huge dollar weight to economy of China.
As we see, it has been written for Russia in 1998, but has made it China already in the XXI-st century.
Similarly for Russia ideas of export of oil for roubles and rouble uses as reserve currency («oil Export for roubles» http://www.yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=6&PubID=130 ) have been proved
But at all of us has left in conversations and «пугания» that we can realize this strategy of rouble export.
Then, as great wisdom tells the following if you want to make something be silent!
I.e. China was silent and did:
«China protects the policy in the field of an exchange rate of national currency – yuan» http://www.1prime.ru/news/0/%7BAABD3385-D56C-40CD-B8D4-98FDFE29ACAD%7D.uif
«Game rules: Currency war»: Force of the country are possibilities of the government to depreciate the currency »h ttp://www.vedomosti.ru/newspaper/article/2
At us similar ideas, and stated earlier, have served while, mainly, to populism. There were pluses and from their scoring, but the economic and political prize should was be multiply more.
The idea about «a gold equivalent» the prices for oil and other resources, too is strategic because correct vision of the market conducts to speed and a faultlessness of actions.
On a high international and federal platform for the first time about «a gold equivalent» the prices for oil I have sounded idea, apparently from represented materials, and also the shorthand report, - at the International forum within the limits of preparation for "G8" which has taken place in World trade center.
There was it in March, 2006 and my performance so sounded:
«… The matter is that we argue on arithmetics – 70 dollars, 20 dollars, it is impossible so already today to argue, because the price тройской gold ounces changes – and the gold maintenance in dollar sharply decreases. Thus, the price for oil has grown not so quickly as it seems. … We have become outdated. We in this scale can't already argue today. Whether understand it шерпы? When the countries of the OPEC make the decision on quota increase, they are guided on тройскую gold ounce. And at us when there is a discussion here again, in frameworks of" the eight »civil, and in frameworks of" G8 »- for some reason all forget about the price тройской gold ounces. A question: whether we can abstract further from it? … you so hurry, all of you time show on hours. I understand all, but we argue on power safety and have forgotten that the dollar at us became twice cheaper. It isn't eternal. Dollar not so basic currency!»
I have intentionally reproduced, simultaneously, and the answer to the leader of the Round table … which began to show to me on hours as soon as I have lifted a theme about decrease in the gold maintenance in dollar. I.e. it not so would like, that the theme was discussed in so wide audience. And the shorthand report hasn't reproduced for example, an exchange of sights. But after already at presence шерп it has made a reservation about it, i.e. де факто has apologized. And as between us there was here this "miniconflict" on procedure already only for this reason it was necessary to pay attention to the emphasis placed by me that it is necessary to pass urgently to the estimation of the world oil market which is based on the account of "the gold maintenance» in dollar.
Among who who was present on this Round table of the International forum were: Peter Richi (Britain), Alexander Shokhin (РСПП), Steve Sawyer (USA), Andrey Azhiarovsky (the European network of public organizations under name АНПЕД. Amsterdam), Gerhard Ort (Power club), Erli Herlich Handejshen (United States), V.Bushuev «Institute of power strategy», L.Grigorev, Karabyshev (the International fund of technologies of investments), Kalyuzhny Dmitry, Romensky (the vice-president of National association of hydrogen power). In total - more than hundred participants.
….
In connection with the dates named above and terms, I will pay attention to the frequent error, concerning Bretton-Vudsky conference or Currency-financial conference of the United Nations Organization.
Continuation under the reference http://yaroslavova.ru/main.mhtml?Part=15&PubID=627
Here it is possible to make the further transfer http://www.translate.ru/Default.aspx/Text